Code & Chain · Signal Desk

IonQ: A ~20,000-Qubit Computer Could Break Bitcoin Signatures in 26 Days

Original sourcePasquale Pillitteri

Summary

IonQ released a full resource estimate showing that a fault-tolerant quantum computer with roughly 20,000 physical qubits (1,457 logical qubits) could use Shor's algorithm to break Bitcoin's elliptic-curve signatures on secp256k1 in about 25.7 days. Details include 19,397 physical qubits, 39 millio…

Key points

  • Holders, custodians, and developers can use this to assess public-key exposure and prioritize post-quantum cryptography migration.
  • The quantum threat has been quantified for the first time down to specific qubit counts and days, turning post-quantum cryptography and key management from a theoretical issue into a scheduling problem.
  • Holders who reuse addresses or leave public keys exposed long-term face higher risk; wallets and exchanges must plan quantum-resistant signatures and key rotation in advance.

Editorial note

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